# Game 10.
Starting a new game with stefanp.
Ivan rolled 6, stefanp rolled 4
Ivan makes the first move.
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X | | X O |
| O X | | X O |
| O X | | X |
| O | | X |
| O | | X |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| X | | O |
| X | | O |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O X |
| X O | | O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 Ivan rolled 4 6.
stefanp says: I like the split and one man down
Ivan moves 8-2 6-2 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X | | X O |
| O X | | X O |
| O X | | X |
| O | | X |
| O | | X |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| X | | |
| X | | O |
| X | | O |
| X O | | O O X |
| X O | | O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: stefanp
stefanp rolls 2 and 3.
stefanp says: Two down from the midpoint looks best here
stefanp moves 12-15 12-14 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X X | | X O |
| O X | | X O |
| O X | | X |
| O | | X |
| O | | X |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | O |
| X | | O |
| X O | | O O X |
| X O | | O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: Ivan
Ivan says: How close was he to splitting there? It would have
signalled a change in style, going on previous games
stefanp says: I think I should have split then to get in front of his
anchor before he brings more men down!!
Ivan rolls 1 and 6.
stefanp says: The bar point is clear
Ivan moves 13-7 8-7 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X X | | X O |
| O X | | X O |
| O X | | X |
| O | | X |
| | | X |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | O |
| X | | O |
| X O | | O O X |
| X O O | | O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: stefanp
stefanp rolls 5 and 1.
stefanp says: The 5 point (20pt) is clear
stefanp moves 15-20 19-20 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X | | X X O |
| O X | | X X O |
| O X | | X |
| O | | X |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | O |
| X | | O |
| X O | | O O X |
| X O O | | O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: Ivan
Ivan rolls 6 and 1.
Ivan says: One 61 tastes good, but two's too many. 13-7 24-23 gets me
moving, to run or anchor. Not a great threat yet
stefanp says: Coming up to my bar point is very dangerous for him
here. All other plays are ugly though - don't know - Jelly? 13-7 24-23
is best [Ed: does "2-1" mean 24-23?]
Ivan moves 13-7 24-23 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X | | X X O O |
| O X | | X X |
| O X | | X |
| | | X |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | O |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O O X |
| X O O | | O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: stefanp
stefanp rolls 6 and 2.
stefanp says: 12-20 is OK, but I think I need some air for my back
men. Running risks a blitz and he is top heavy on his 6pt and 7pt -
better not. 12-20 it is
Ivan says: Bad roll. Run one man
stefanp moves 12-18 18-20 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X | | X X O O |
| O X | | X X |
| O X | | X X |
| | | X |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | O |
| O | | O |
| X O | | O O X |
| X O O | | O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: Ivan
Ivan says: With the better board, that's a bit too passive for my
liking. Now I hope to exploit my earlier split
Ivan rolls 6 and 2.
Ivan says: I don't want to leave the backmen there - am running out of
play elsewhere on the board. But also I don't want to bring them
further up in his board - he has the better board, plenty of
attackers, plus an anchor. Therefore, only option left is to run a man
stefanp says: Not a good roll. Running looks best - don't know. 13-7
8-6 looks ugly - and I could blitz him from here
Ivan moves 23-21 21-15 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X O X | | X X O |
| O X | | X X |
| O X | | X X |
| | | X |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | O |
| O | | O |
| X O | | O O X |
| X O O | | O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: stefanp
stefanp rolls 6 and 3.
stefanp says: I must hit with the three - other sixes are 14-20 or 12-
18. 12-18 is best - I will have lots of return shots if he hits me
stefanp moves 12-15 12-18 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X X X | | X X O |
| O X | | X X |
| O X | | X X |
| | | X |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | O |
| O | | O |
| O | | O O X |
| O O | O | O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-1 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: Ivan
Ivan says: This is the deciding roll in the game. Miss = double/drop;
hit = possible double/take; advanced anchor = no double
Ivan rolls 4 and 3.
Ivan says: Let's see if that theory holds water: advanced anchor = no
double
stefanp says: Anchor or hit
Ivan moves bar-21 24-21 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X X X | | X X O |
| O X | | X X O |
| O X | | X X |
| | | X |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | O |
| O | | O |
| O | | O O X |
| O O | | O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: stefanp
stefanp rolls 2 and 1.
stefanp says: The four-prime looks best
stefanp moves 17-18 15-17 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X X | | X X O |
| O X X | | X X O |
| O X | | X X |
| | | X |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | O |
| O | | O |
| O | | O O X |
| O O | | O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: Ivan
Ivan says: I'd better do something good soon - have got some play
left, but it's going to disappear quickly
Ivan rolls 1 and 1.
Ivan says: I've got enough free play to not have to keep the 8pt
slotted. The indirect hits outweigh the builder advantage, which I
retain anyway
stefanp says: A good throw. The 5pt is very strong, then 8-6 with the
other two
Ivan moves 6-5 6-5 7-6 8-7 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X X | | X X O |
| O X X | | X X O |
| O X | | X X |
| | | X |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | |
| O | | O |
| O | | O O O X |
| O | | O O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: stefanp
stefanp rolls 4 and 4.
stefanp says: I needed to get running then. He may have a double here
- not much I can do, though
stefanp moves 14-18 18-22 19-23 19-23 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X | | X X O X X |
| O X X | | X X O X |
| O X | | X |
| | | |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | |
| O | | O |
| O | | O O O X |
| O | | O O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: Ivan
Ivan says: I think it was a mistake to move the man off the 14pt - it
was a big threat there. What a bad roll, though - only 55 or 66 was
worse. I want to slow down so I can break the anchor with both men at
the same time. Lots of time left compared with Stefan - the next 2/3
rolls will see the cube turning
Ivan rolls 4 and 2.
Ivan says: 13-9 13-11 is highly blotty, but is hit only with 26 and
35. But then there are two other men to be picked up easily. 13-7 is
too unconstructive. 13-9 7-5 is much more constructive - same number
of hits, but no more men to be picked up. I want to retain slack (i.e.
timing), but not by getting three men on the bar!
stefanp says: I think he should have doubled then - I dropped. 13-7 is
best here
Ivan moves 13-9 7-5 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X | | X X O X X |
| O X X | | X X O X |
| X | | X |
| | | |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | |
| | | O O |
| O | | O O O X |
| O O | | O O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: stefanp
stefanp rolls 1 and 2.
stefanp says: I think he should have played safe then and waited for
me to crack. If I split my back men I leave myself open to attack and
a possible double. Can I take it? Probably yes. Staying back is slow
death - surely not. I think I'll wait one more roll. If he rolls badly
I may have a chance to run a man into the outfield to help with my
timing
Ivan says: split - I've got too much timing to hope I'll break anchor
unsafely. If he doesn't, it's almost a money double (perhaps it is a
money double) - at this score, not quite a double. I've got around 13
pointing hits, but lots of those come off my bar point
stefanp moves 20-22 17-18 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X | | X X O X X |
| O X X | | X X O X X |
| X | | |
| | | |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | |
| | | O O |
| O | | O O O X |
| O O | | O O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: Ivan
Ivan says: Well, it was close - making 22pt was my first gut choice,
but overall the split just may turn out to be better - I've not got
enough hitting potential to gammon *or* cube. As it is, I just play
slowly and either make the 4pt, build in my outerboard, or come off
the anchor. The 17pt will break soon
stefanp says: He may double here - I think I drop
Jellyfish 2, Level 7 evaluation says: Double/take:
Wins G BG
-----------------
stefanp 31.0 6.4 0.2
Ivan 69.0 16.9 0.8 Equity 0.491 (volatility 0.257)
Ivan rolls 1 and 2.
Ivan says: No comment
stefanp says: Making the 4 point is clear
Ivan moves 6-4 5-4 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X | | X X O X X |
| O X X | | X X O X X |
| X | | |
| | | |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| O | | O O O O X |
| O O | | O O O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: stefanp
stefanp rolls 2 and 4.
stefanp says: Now I have to split the back men while he has no
builders. Can I take a double? I think so because of my strong board
Ivan says: Now split. If he doesn't, I cube
stefanp moves 1-3 18-22 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X | | X X O X X |
| O X X | | X X O X X |
| | | X |
| | | |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| O | | O O O O |
| O O | | O O O X O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: Ivan
Ivan rolls 4 and 2.
Ivan says: Three choices: 1) hit once (9-3*) means he cashes on a
rehit, and it's difficult to cover if he misses.
Ivan says: 2) The broken prime (13-9 13-11) means he runs with five
(but he doesn't have a double) or he breaks 17pt (and no cube for me)
Ivan says: 3) hit twice (7-3* 3-1*) starts the gammon and might not
even be a cube for him if he hits
Ivan says: Jelly - I want to analyse this position in more detail.
Three strong choices, they all seem about equal to me over the board.
I think the single hit (9-3*) is the weakest of the three. I choose
the broken prime (13-9 13-11) because it's the least gammonish if it
goes wrong. If he runs with five, I still have play left, it just
means he also gets more time. The double hit hurts me badly if he
rolls a one - the bar point is also open for a gammon-gaining hit
stefanp says: Will he hit or play safe? Hitting both is right I think
- two on the bar against a four-point board is bad for me. Hitting on
the 3pt is a safer strong play also - but I prefer the double hit. The
safe play (13-9 13-11) is also acceptable. Jelly?
Jellyfish 2, Level 7 says: the top five ways to play 42 are:
9/3* 0.564
13/9 13/11 0.550
7/3* 3/1* 0.517
9/5 13/11 0.470
7/3* 7/5 0.338
Ivan moves 13-9 13-11 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| X X | | X X O X X |
| X X | | X X O X X |
| | | X |
| | | |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| O O | | O O O O |
| O O O | | O O O X O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: stefanp
stefanp rolls 5 and 6.
stefanp says: I need some air - now I have a bit of timing, things are
a little better. I can take a double now
stefanp moves 3-8 8-14 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| X X X | | X X O X X |
| X X | | X X O X X |
| | | X |
| | | |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| O O | | O O O O |
| O O O | | O O O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: Ivan
Ivan rolls 6 and 4.
Ivan says: 21-11 is asking for trouble - not a candidate. 9-3 7-3 is
great if it works, gammonish if it doesn't (odds are in my favour -
his one hit vs my two covers). Hitting (11-1*) hurts my plan to run
the two back men, plus he either hits or comes in on 3, both of which
are bad (56% chance of either of those things happening). 11-5 9-5
looks too much like a crunch to me - suddenly I have relatively few
good rolls. Because the odds are in my favour, I vacate the bar point
now for a greater gain next roll
stefanp says: 11-5 9-5 looks best for Ivan here. Running with his back
man is fatal for him as I will launch an attack on the remaining man.
Making the 3pt is a mistake, giving me a game-winning shot
Ivan moves 9-3 7-3 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| X X X | | X X O X X |
| X X | | X X O X X |
| | | X |
| | | |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | O O O O O |
| O O O | | O O O O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: stefanp
stefanp says: I think that is wrong - but If I miss he has a
double/drop. If I hit it is all over for him - it's not worth the risk
while he had such a strong game anyway. There is also the chance that
I can gammon him here if I can hit!
Ivan says: That was a mistaken move - I could have done better; it
looks terrible now. Now I've given him 11 rolls to get a gammon with.
Given the previous 56, he might have a speculative cube here
stefanp rolls 2 and 4.
stefanp says: I miss. He should have doubled - it is not a gammonish
position and he may not have made his bar point
stefanp moves 14-18 18-20 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| X X | | X X O X X |
| X X | | X X O X X |
| | | X X |
| | | |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | O O O O O |
| O O O | | O O O O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: Ivan
Ivan rolls 4 and 6.
Ivan says: Make six-prime and run. Better chance of success than his
chance of hitting, covering 21pt and me crunching
Ivan moves 11-7 21-15 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X | | X X O X X |
| X X | | X X X X |
| | | X X |
| | | |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| O | | O O O O O |
| O O | | O O O O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-0 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: stefanp
stefanp rolls 1 and 4.
stefanp says: If he enters he may have a problem - if he doubles it is
probably a drop
stefanp moves 17-21 20-21 .
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
+------------------------------------------+ X: stefanp - score: 4
| O X X | | X X X X X |
| X | | X X X X X |
| | | X |
| | | |
| | | |
v| |BAR| | 11-point match
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| O | | O O O O O |
| O O | O | O O O O O X |
+------------------------------------------+ O: Ivan - score: 6
12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
BAR: O-1 X-0 OFF: O-0 X-0 Cube: 1 turn: Ivan
Ivan says: My timing is far better, plus every time I dance, he
crunches and I retain my prime. Even if I enter first roll, I have
better timing, therefore double
Ivan doubles.
stefanp gives up. Ivan wins 1 point.
score in 11 point match: Ivan-7 stefanp-4